I'm writing a series of blog posts about casino games and the good and bad strategies for playing those games.
- Come bets Made any time after the first roll when a shooter has a point to make You win on natural seven or eleven and lose on craps (two, three or twelve). Any number that comes up is a 'come point', and must be thrown before a seven is thrown.
- Imagine a craps player who takes maximum odds, say 10x, on his pass line and come bets reducing the house edge to 0.18%. He avoids other bets that give the house a bigger edge. He is an 'astute' right.
Craps is one of my favorite casino games, so I've been looking forward to writing this one.
Place bet vs come bet in a game of Craps For the first few years of playing craps, I was a come bettor. As I learned more about the game and how the payouts worked, I realized that the place bet was the far better bet. The Come Bet in Craps. C ome bets work like Pass Line bets, but the key difference between the two is that you make a Pass Line bet before the shooter establishes a point; whereas, you make a Come bet after the shooter establishes a point. Generally, people find the Come bet. Imagine a craps player who takes maximum odds, say 10x, on his pass line and come bets reducing the house edge to 0.18%. He avoids other bets that give the house a bigger edge. He is an 'astute' right bettor in every way except this: he is determined to lose.
And the beautiful thing about craps is that it's a game of pure chance. The best strategy is just to choose the bets with the lowest edge for the house and have fun.
But I'll have some things to say about some of the strategies and systems that other writers promote, too. Phantom of the opera game online.
They're mostly bad craps strategies.
Here's the Only Craps Strategy You Need
When you're dealing with an entirely random game – like craps – the only strategy that matters is choosing the bets with the lowest house edge and having fun.
I'll have something to say about shooters and whether they have control over the outcomes later in this post, but for now, let's just agree that games like craps are purely chance.
In other games that are entirely random, like slot machines, you don't even really need to decide which bet to place. It's chosen for you before you sit down.
When playing craps for real money, you have a handful of good bets you can make, but most of the bets on the table are bad. Just skip the bad bets, and you're all set.
The Bests Bets at the Craps Table
The best bets at the craps table are the pass line bet and the don't pass bet.
The come and don't come bets are also great wagers.
I always advise casino gamblers to try to limit their gambling to games where the house edge is lower than 2% — preferably 1.5% or lower.
The house edge for the pass and come bets is the same, 1.41%, which means they qualify.
The house edge for the don't pass and don't come bets is even lower, 1.36%, but the 0.05% isn't worth worrying about. Most people prefer to root for the shooter to succeed.
The other bet to think about at the craps table is the odds bet. This is a bet you can only place after making one of the 4 bets I already mentioned and when the shooter has set a point.
This is one of the only bets in the casino that has no house edge. It's a break-even bet, but it can be expensive.
It can also drive the effective house edge on the money you have in action down to almost nothing.
Here's how that works. Firework games free.
How the Odds Bet Changes the House Edge for the Better
If you're betting on the pass line and the shooter sets a point, you can expect to lose $1.41 for every $100 you bet. That's on average and in the long run.
If you're playing at a casino that only allows you to place an odds bet at 1X the size of your pass line bet, you can put another $100 into action.
Your expected loss remains $1.41, though, which effectively cuts the house edge in half, from 1.41% to 0.71%.
If you're able to bet 2X your original bet on the odds bet, you can lower that even further to 0.36%. (You have $300 in action, but your expected loss is still only $1.41.)
The more you're able to bet on the odds bet, the lower the house edge for all the money you have in action becomes.
It's clear why betting on the pass line and taking the most odds that you can is an effective strategy. With the odds bet, you can get the house edge in craps lower than 0.5% at least some of the time at the table, making it an even better game than blackjack.
And what's more, you don't have to memorize basic strategy to get the low house edge at craps.
You just need a big enough casino bankroll to make the right bets, and you need enough sense to avoid the bad bets at the table – of which there are many.
Any Strategy that Involves Placing ANY Other Bets at the Craps Table Is a BAD Craps Strategy
There's a reason gambling experts measure bets according to their house edge. That's because it's the single best indicator of how good or bad a bet is.
The house edge is a statistical estimate of how much money you'll lose as a percentage of your original bet over the long run.
If the house edge is 1.41%, the casino expects to win an average of $1.41 every time you bet $100.
If the house edge is 16.66%, the casino expects to win an average of $16.66 every time you bet $100.
Which bet looks like the better bet for the casino?
And which one looks like the better bet for the gambler?
It shouldn't be hard to make the distinction.
Even the best of the bad bets on the craps table are inferior to the 1.41% or 1.36% you can get from the pass, don't pass, come, and don't come bets.
And trust me on this:
You can have PLENTY of fun sticking with the basic bets at the craps table.
Betting Systems Where You Raise and Lower the Size of Your Bets Are Bad Strategies
The classic example of this kind of betting system is the Martingale System, where you double the size of your bets after each loss. When you do this repeatedly, you eventually win back the money you've lost along with a profit of one unit.
The problem with a system like the Martingale is that you'll eventually run into a big enough losing streak that it will wipe out all those small profits and then some.
Most people underestimate how quickly a bet's size gets when doubling after every loss.
They also overestimate how likely they are to avoid long losing streaks.
If you double a $5 bet once, that's $10.
But if you run into a losing streak of 8 bets in a row, you're looking at having to bet $640 to make up for your losses.
Also, every roll of the dice is an independent event. The odds don't change based on how many times you've won or lost in a row.
You might think the probability of losing that 8th bet is lower than the likelihood of losing the first one, but the truth is that the dice have no memory. They have the same 6 sides, no matter how many times you've lost in a row.
Each bet in craps is an independent event, and any betting system will assume that the odds are changing based on how many times in a row you've won or lost.
Money Management Strategies Don't Hurt Anything, but They Won't Improve Your Odds of Winning, Either
Money management strategies involve having strict gambling discipline about how much of your bankroll you're willing to risk before quitting the game. They also require you to stop when you've won an arbitrary amount of money.
Money management techniques are often used in conjunction with betting systems.
Here's an example of a money management strategy in craps:
Numbers on a roulette table. You decide your bankroll for the session is $250, and you're playing for $5 per roll of the dice.
Your stop-loss limit is $100, so, if your bankroll drops to $150, you must quit the craps session and go do something else.
Your win goal is $250, so once your bankroll gets up to $500, you must quit the game and go do something else.
This kind of strategy might increase your chances of walking away from the game a winner.
But that's only because a lot of gamblers will just keep playing until they've lost their entire stake. They just don't generally have a lot of sense about that sort of thing.
The Jury's Out on Dice Setting or Dice Control
I've seen multiple reputable gambling writers express interest and some belief that some craps shooters can influence the probability of specific outcomes. I'm skeptical – in the extreme – but I'll give it an appropriate amount of credence.
The idea is that you hold the dice a specific way – 'setting' the dice – then throw with a minimum amount of force – just enough to hit the back wall and eliminate most of the rolling action.
A controlled shooting expert doesn't have to be perfect. Instead, they're trying to be like someone who's playing darts. They improve the probability enough to change the negative expectation on a bet to a positive expectation.
You can buy books and videos explaining how to get an edge at craps this way, but I can't imagine the amount of practice and record-keeping required to have any confidence in your ability to change the odds.
Imagine if you spent 1000 hours trying to learn how to control the dice and coming up short. Maybe you just don't have the knack for it.
That doesn't sound like a good deal to me.
I'd rather learn to count cards in blackjack.
Conclusion
Those are the best and the worst of the strategies I know of for playing craps in the casino. I know plenty of people who would disagree with every recommendation I've made, but the math behind the game doesn't lie.
The best strategy is to stick with the bets with the lowest house edge and have as much fun as you can.
THE COME BET
The come bet is a bet that is often misunderstood by craps players. As such, there is a lot of controversy and debate that surrounds the come bet. This article will explain the come bet.
If you know how to play the pass line bet, then you know how to play the come bet. The come bet and the pass line bets play under the same win-loss conditions. The difference is the location and timing of the come bet. The come bet is initiated by placing a bet in the area marked ‘Come'. You can make a come bet on almost every roll. The exception is that you can not make a come bet if the next roll is the come out roll for the pass line. Other than the pass line come out roll, the player can make a come bet at any time.
WIN-LOSS CONDITIONS
The win-loss conditions on the come bet are the exact same as the pass line. Once you make the come bet, the very next roll is the come out roll for the come bet.
Once you make a come bet, on the next roll, 7 or 11 wins, and 2,3, or 12 causes the come bet to lose. Any other number becomes the point for the come bet.
The player may then take odds on the come bet, just like if he or she has a pass line bet. If the max odds allowed is 3x,4x,5x on the pass line bet, then that's the same max odds that are allowed for the come bet.
The shooter will continue to shoot the dice. Once a point for the come bet is established, a 7 will cause the come bet to lose. If the come bet point rolls, then the come bet wins. Any other number other than the come bet point or the 7 is irrelevant. The shooter will continue to shoot until either the 7 rolls or the point rolls.
As stated above, the player can make a come bet on every roll except the come out roll for the pass line. If the player decided to make a come bet on every available roll, the player would have multiple points on the board, and each active point would win if the point rolls. The caveat is that if 7 rolls, every come bet that had been moved to a number would then lose.
If you understand the pass line bet, then you understand the come bet. They're really the same bet.
WALKTHROUGH OF THE COME BET
Come Bet In Craps
Once the shooter has established the point for the pass line bet, the player must wait for the pass line bet to resolve (meaning win or lose) before the player can make another pass line bet. However, if the player wants to have more action than a singular pass line bet, but he wants to make a bet that has the exact same win or loss conditions as the pass line bet, then the player may make a come bet.
The player can only make a come bet if a point for the pass line has already been established. If a point for the pass is not established, then the player just makes a pass line bet. Just remember that the win-loss conditions for the pass line and the come bet are exactly the same; so it doesn't make sense to make a come bet if there is no pass line bet. https://7stagidta-zun2.wixsite.com/freeproperty/post/minecraft-apk-1-2-6-indir.
Let me clarify this by walking you through the video below.
At the 1:50 second mark in the video above, you see RoadGambler making a come bet. RoadGambler throws down a red chip into the area marked come. RoadGambler happens to not have a pass line bet, but that doesn't matter. A player does not need to make a pass line bet in order to make a come bet.
Notice also that the pass line for the point is 10; thus the point for the pass line is already established.
When RoadGambler makes the come bet at 1:50, the come bet will win if the next roll is a 7 or 11 but will lose if the roll is a 2,3 or…you guessed it…12. In other words, the next roll is a come out roll for the come bet. Any other numbered roll will serve as the point for the come bet.
At 1:55 the next roll is a 9. This means the come bet now has a point of 9. So going forward on this come bet, 9 will win, whereas 7 will lose. The player can also make an odds bet on the come bet, just like you would for a pass line bet. The payoff for the odds bet are exactly the same as the odds on a pass line bet: 4 and 10 pay 2-1; 5 and 9 pay 3-2; and 6 and 8 pay 6-5.
Fast forward to 3:16 and you will see that RoadGambler now has two come bets that have points. RoadGambler has a come bet + odds on the 6, and a come bet + odds on the 9.
What this now means, for those two bets, is that a roll of 6 or 9 will win the corresponding number, whereas a 7 will lose both bets.
When I try to describe the come bet to players at the table (when I'm asked), I describe the come bet as a pass line bet that can be made at any time. The moment the player makes a come bet, the very next roll is a come out roll for the come bet.
If you already have a pass line bet, can you make a come bet? Absolutely. Just remember that the moment you make the come bet, the very next roll will have at least two functions, it will serve to determine your existing pass line (if you have a pass line bet), and it will also determine an action on your come bet. Do not let the fact that one roll can serve two determining functions confuse you. A roll can have many different determining functions. For example, if you bet at the same time ‘Yo', ‘hop 10', and ‘any craps', the next roll will serve three functions, each of which determine the win or loss for those bets.
So that's the come bet explained.
CONTROVERSY AND FALLACY SURROUNDING THE COME BET
If you ever play real craps in a casino, you will see very few people making come bets. I'm usually alone in making come bets. Most people prefer place bets.
The often quoted reason for this is that for the come bet to win, it must hit twice. Mathematically, this is not true. Rather than debating the math on the issue, if the player genuinely believes that the come bet is at a disadvantage because it has to hit twice, then the player should bet the Don't Come. By betting the Don't Come, the player is effectively forcing the casino to bet the Come Bet and ‘hit the number twice'.
You'll quickly discover that over the long run, the casino doesn't have to hit the number twice. You don't have to hit the number twice, either.
While it may seem like the number must hit twice for you to win, it's not true. For example, let's say you make a come bet and the point of 9 rolls. Well, for you to win, the 9 must roll again before a 7. Thus it appears as if a 9 has to roll twice.
When someone says that a point must roll twice for a come bet to win, they are incorrectly describing the way the come bet works. A more accurate way to describe the come bet is that a point must first be established, and then the point must roll again. This is a different statement from, ‘the point must roll twice'.
You might be able to see the distinction better if we talk about flips of the coin. If we say, ‘heads must flip twice to win', that's different from saying, ‘the same side of the coin must flip twice'.
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The odds that ‘heads must flip twice in a row' is 1 in 4, i.e., 25%
The odds that ‘the same side must flip twice in a row' is 1 in 2, i.e., 50%.
The same logic applies to the roll of the dice and the come bet. The difference between the two statements (regarding the coin flip) is that on the first roll, either head or tails would have satisfied a condition of the flip. This means that the first roll is not a roll that will win or lose the bet; rather it is a flip the establishes the win-loss condition going forward. Similarly, on a come out roll for the come bet, the shooter may roll any point. It is not a condition of the come out roll that the shooter must roll a specific point. Thus the first time the shooter hits the point, that first hit was not a win-loss condition of the bet; rather it was a roll that established the win-loss condition. That's why the shooter does not need to ‘hit the point twice' to win.
Again, you don't have to take my word for it, just bet the don't come bet and force the house to take the come bet. Then they'll be the one who must hit ‘the number twice'.
THE HOUSE EDGE ON THE COME BET
Because the win/loss conditions are the same as the pass line bet, the house edge on the come bet is exactly the same as the pass bet: 1.41%.
Don't Come Bet Craps
With odds, the house edge on the combined bet is reduced similar to the reduction in house edge on total action, as if the bet was a pass line bet. At 10x, the combined house edge is .18%, which is similar to a good blackjack game played with perfect basic strategy.
Similar to the pass line bet, the odds bet will reduce the overall house edge on the combined come bet + odds, but the total combined bet remains a negative expectation bet, even if the house edge is significantly reduced.
CONCLUSION
Do not be afraid of the come bet. In many ways, the come bet is superior to the place bet because the overall house edge is lower. In the long run, you will do better by making come bets + odds, rather than place bets. There are many craps players who disagree with the statement I just made. But if you run a craps simulation, you'll find that in the long run, the come bet + odds is by far a better bet. Both place bets and come bets+odds are negative exception bets; however, the come bet+odds will result in a far smaller loss, assuming the combined amount bet on the come bet is the same as the amount bet on the place bet.
Most place bettors prefer the place bet because they have a hard time swallowing the fact that if a number rolls for a come bet, they would have won if the bet was instead a place bet. But what the player forgets is that if a number doesn't roll, but rather 7 rolls, the place bet will lose, and the come bet will win, having never traveled. This is the balancing factor in a come bet; which is why a place bet has a house edge of 1.52%, while a come bet has a lower house edge of 1.41%, even without odds.
Try the come bet. In the long run, you'll do better.
At the end of the day, craps is supposed to be a fun game. If you hate the come bet because you can't get past the fact that you would have been paid on a place bet, then make a place bet. Or if you still believe that you must hit the point twice on a come bet to win, then stay away from the come bet. The win-loss differential on a short-term, single session basis is barely noticeable, and if come betting takes away from your enjoyment of the game, stick with what you enjoy.
Good luck at the tables!
Odds On Come Bet In Craps What Wins
Posted in: Casino, Craps, Gambling
